Pre-tourney Rankings
Alcorn St.
Southwestern Athletic
2015-16
Overall
Predictive Rating-10.2#313
Expected Predictive Rating-8.0#285
Pace67.4#244
Improvement+9.4#2

Offense
Total Offense-5.4#308
First Shot-6.8#328
After Offensive Rebound+1.4#78
Layup/Dunks-4.8#333
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.3#102
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.3#256
Freethrows-0.9#245
Improvement+3.7#23

Defense
Total Defense-4.9#300
First Shot-4.4#305
After Offensive Rebounds-0.4#221
Layups/Dunks+0.2#173
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.7#234
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.3#280
Freethrows-1.7#282
Improvement+5.7#4
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 19, 2015 134   @ Grand Canyon L 46-79 8%     0 - 1 -27.9 -25.1 -1.9
  Nov 22, 2015 222   @ UTEP L 66-88 18%     0 - 2 -22.6 -13.1 -7.8
  Nov 24, 2015 203   @ Portland L 65-97 17%     0 - 3 -31.9 -12.1 -18.6
  Nov 27, 2015 88   Oakland L 51-84 7%     0 - 4 -26.6 -27.5 +3.3
  Nov 28, 2015 350   Florida A&M L 71-73 75%     0 - 5 -19.4 -4.0 -15.4
  Nov 30, 2015 13   @ Indiana L 70-112 1%     0 - 6 -23.0 +1.8 -23.8
  Dec 05, 2015 190   @ Mercer L 43-68 15%     0 - 7 -23.9 -24.8 -2.6
  Dec 19, 2015 167   @ Tennessee St. L 76-81 12%     0 - 8 -2.6 +6.6 -9.3
  Dec 21, 2015 220   @ Tennessee Martin L 47-70 18%     0 - 9 -23.6 -27.4 +3.6
  Jan 02, 2016 335   @ Prairie View W 73-70 51%     1 - 9 1 - 0 -7.4 -1.7 -5.7
  Jan 04, 2016 186   @ Texas Southern L 58-74 14%     1 - 10 1 - 1 -14.6 -13.5 -1.7
  Jan 09, 2016 261   Jackson St. L 71-80 OT 46%     1 - 11 1 - 2 -18.1 -6.2 -11.3
  Jan 11, 2016 346   Grambling St. W 69-53 78%     2 - 11 2 - 2 -2.2 -6.5 +4.9
  Jan 16, 2016 341   @ Mississippi Valley W 93-87 OT 55%     3 - 11 3 - 2 -5.5 -6.6 -0.4
  Jan 18, 2016 344   @ Arkansas Pine Bluff W 73-65 57%     4 - 11 4 - 2 -4.0 +1.3 -4.9
  Jan 23, 2016 315   Alabama A&M W 63-58 62%     5 - 11 5 - 2 -8.3 -12.7 +4.9
  Jan 25, 2016 295   Alabama St. W 77-72 56%     6 - 11 6 - 2 -6.8 +2.3 -8.8
  Jan 30, 2016 242   @ Southern L 64-75 21%     6 - 12 6 - 3 -12.8 -4.6 -8.9
  Feb 06, 2016 261   @ Jackson St. W 72-64 25%     7 - 12 7 - 3 +4.7 +7.8 -2.4
  Feb 08, 2016 346   @ Grambling St. W 66-63 58%     8 - 12 8 - 3 -9.3 -4.6 -4.5
  Feb 13, 2016 341   Mississippi Valley W 72-71 OT 75%     9 - 12 9 - 3 -16.3 -10.5 -5.9
  Feb 15, 2016 344   Arkansas Pine Bluff W 79-60 77%     10 - 12 10 - 3 +1.2 +6.0 -3.7
  Feb 20, 2016 315   @ Alabama A&M W 62-58 39%     11 - 12 11 - 3 -3.4 -3.7 +1.1
  Feb 22, 2016 295   @ Alabama St. L 60-73 34%     11 - 13 11 - 4 -18.9 -16.2 -2.6
  Feb 27, 2016 242   Southern W 70-56 40%     12 - 13 12 - 4 +6.3 -5.9 +12.1
  Mar 03, 2016 335   Prairie View W 81-64 72%     13 - 13 13 - 4 +0.7 +2.0 -1.7
  Mar 05, 2016 186   Texas Southern L 66-76 29%     13 - 14 13 - 5 -14.4 -4.6 -10.7
  Mar 09, 2016 341   Mississippi Valley L 61-64 66%     13 - 15 -17.4 -18.5 +1.2
Projected Record 13.0 - 15.0 13.0 - 5.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southwestern Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 100.0 100.0 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Southwestern Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 0.0%
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 100.0% 100.0
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%